Differences in biomarker levels and proteomic survival prediction across two COVID-19 cohorts with distinct treatments
Cecilie Bo Hansen,
Maria Elizabeth Engel Møller,
Laura Pérez-Alós,
Simone Bastrup Israelsen,
Lylia Drici,
Maud Eline Ottenheijm,
Annelaura Bach Nielsen,
Nicolai J. Wewer Albrechtsen,
Thomas Benfield,
Peter Garred
Affiliations
Cecilie Bo Hansen
Laboratory of Molecular Medicine, Department of Clinical Immunology, Section 7631, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; Corresponding author
Maria Elizabeth Engel Møller
Department of Clinical Immunology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
Laura Pérez-Alós
Laboratory of Molecular Medicine, Department of Clinical Immunology, Section 7631, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
Simone Bastrup Israelsen
Department of Infectious Diseases, Copenhagen University Hospital - Amager and Hvidovre, Hvidovre, Denmark
Lylia Drici
NNF Center for Protein Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Copenhagen University Hospital - Bispebjerg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
Maud Eline Ottenheijm
NNF Center for Protein Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Copenhagen University Hospital - Bispebjerg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
Annelaura Bach Nielsen
NNF Center for Protein Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Copenhagen University Hospital - Bispebjerg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
Nicolai J. Wewer Albrechtsen
NNF Center for Protein Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Copenhagen University Hospital - Bispebjerg Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
Thomas Benfield
Department of Infectious Diseases, Copenhagen University Hospital - Amager and Hvidovre, Hvidovre, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
Peter Garred
Laboratory of Molecular Medicine, Department of Clinical Immunology, Section 7631, Copenhagen University Hospital - Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
Summary: Prognostic biomarkers have been widely studied in COVID-19, but their levels may be influenced by treatment strategies. This study examined plasma biomarkers and proteomic survival prediction in two unvaccinated hospitalized COVID-19 cohorts receiving different treatments. In a derivation cohort (n = 126) from early 2020, we performed plasma proteomic profiling and evaluated innate and complement system immune markers. A proteomic model based on differentially expressed proteins predicted 30-day mortality with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81. The model was tested in a validation cohort (n = 80) from late 2020, where patients received remdesivir and dexamethasone, and performed with an AUC of 0.75. Biomarker levels varied considerably between cohorts, sometimes in opposite directions, highlighting the impact of treatment regimens on biomarker expression. These findings underscore the need to account for treatment effects when developing prognostic models, as treatment differences may limit their generalizability across populations.